For immediate release
August 6th, 2020
Contact: Nick Tomboulides, U.S. Term Limits
Phone: (202) 261-3532
Poll: If Greenfield Stresses Term Limits, She’ll Beat Ernst
Des Moines, IA – According to a new poll conducted by RMG Research, businesswoman Theresa Greenfield will defeat Joni Ernst decisively in November, but only if she begins focusing on one key issue: congressional term limits. If Greenfield does not stress term limits, the race will remain a tossup.
The poll, which was conducted from July 27-30, found that Greenfield currently leads Ernst 40% to 36%, which is within the margin of error. But when voters are asked who they would support if Greenfield were to sign the U.S. Term Limits pledge, which Ernst opposes, Greenfield would jump out to a 17-point lead.
If Greenfield signs the term limits pledge, her support among Republicans would more than double, from 8% to 19%. Among independents, her share of the vote would rise from 27% to 40%.
According to the poll, 72% of Iowa voters don’t know what Senator Ernst’s position is on congressional term limits. Further, 1 in 4 voters are still undecided, making the race highly competitive. With Republicans currently holding a six-seat majority under Leader Mitch McConnell, this race – and the issue of term limits — could determine the balance of power in the Senate.
The survey of 500 registered voters in Iowa was conducted online by RMG Research, Inc. from July 27-30th, 2020 using a representative sample to reflect the state’s population of registered voters. It has a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points. RMG Research is owned and operated by Scott Rasmussen.
For full poll results:
View crosstab results here.
View topline results here.
U.S. Term Limits: is the largest grassroots term limits advocacy group in the country. We connect term limits supporters with their legislators and work to pass term limits on all elected officials, particularly on the U.S. Congress. Find out more at termlimits.org.
RMG Research: Long recognized as one of the world’s leading public opinion pollsters, Scott Rasmussen is committed to enhancing the public dialogue through data-driven analysis that explores the underlying currents of public opinion.